2015 Federal Election Seat Projection as of September 14, 2015

Five weeks to go, and things keep tightening up. There have been 11 new polls since last week and no matter how many times I keep looking at the numbers and my algorithm for errors, I keep coming up with the same, new and surprising results.

See for yourself.

First, the latest 11 polls.

Now, my latest seat projection if the election was held today.

I know, I am the only pollster seeing the Liberals in the lead.

Finally, the trend 

If I were Mr. Trudeau, I would say Thank You Ontario.