Saturday, 10 October 2015

Federal Election Seat Projections as of October 9, 2015

It appears that the electorate is behaving much more strategic than anyone would have predicted. The wheels have come off of the NDP cart, and the anti-Harper votes have swung dramatically this week to the Liberal Party. It now appears likely that the Liberal Party will obtain the most seats in the October 19 election. However, not enough seats to form a majority government.
While there is still some excellent seat capture opportunities for both the Liberal and Conservative parties in B.C., and, to a lesser extent, Ontario, there isn't much room to grow for either party. The Liberals best case scenario is around 148 seats, and the Conservatives could capture as many as 143 seats. Now, it all depends on what happens around the Thanksgiving dinner table, and how effective the last week of advertising is.
Let's all give thanks for the good fortune of living in this wonderful country.
Here's is how the Liberals are trending..

Here are the poll results since my last posting.

And, who would have guessed this possible outcome when the election was called.




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