2015 Federal Election Seat Projection as of August 14, 2015

There have been 4 new polls since my first prediction for this federal election season, beautifully summarized by Election Almanac as follows:

These polls show the Liberals gaining ground primarily at the expense of the NDP. Plugging these polls into my Black Box Elections: By the Numbers Least Squares Analysis Calculator, here are my most recent seat projections:

Again, I appear to be slightly higher than most pundits in Conservative seat count. In terms of NDP and Liberal seats, the pundits have moved closer to my numbers.

It's a long time until October 19, so, we shall see.

Please join me next week for my weekly seat projection.