Let's have a look.
First, poll averages, complements of CBC News
Based on these six poll averages, when weighted into my spreadsheet, here is what I see as the latest seat count.
Sunday, 30 August 2015
2015 Federal Election Seat Projection as of August 30, 2015
What a difference two more polls make. Two more polls were released this weekend, one by EKOS/iPolitics and the other by Ipsos Reid/Global News. Remember that downward trend we were observing in both the Conservatives and the Liberals, no longer visible. The Conservatives are now flat and the Liberals are on the rise. Further, the NDP are sliding a bit. So, what does it mean, simply that the Conservatives are now giving up seats to the Liberals while the NDP are holding on to their leading seat count.
Let's have a look.
First, poll averages, complements of CBC News
Here are the six polls that I weighted averaged into my predictor...
Based on these six poll averages, when weighted into my spreadsheet, here is what I see as the latest seat count.
Let's have a look.
First, poll averages, complements of CBC News
Based on these six poll averages, when weighted into my spreadsheet, here is what I see as the latest seat count.
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